Mapping future fire probability under climate change: Does vegetation matter?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Future Fire Probability Modeling with Climate Change Data and Physical Chemistry
Climate has a primary influence on the occurrence and rate of combustion in ecosystems with carbon-based fuels such as forests and grasslands. Society will be confronted with the effects of climate change on fire in future forests. There are, however, few quantitative appraisals of how climate will affect wildland fire in the United States. We demonstrated a method for estimating changes in fir...
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This research aims at quantifying the effect and importance of considering future climate change on large-scale infrastructure in a developing country context. Plans are underway for major hydropower development in Ethiopia, a water resources-rich nation, yet consideration of climate change on design, operation, and eventual benefits of the system remains uncharted. If current strategies are re...
متن کاملClimate Change and Future Fire Regimes: Examples from California
Climate and weather have long been noted as playing key roles in wildfire activity, and global warming is expected to exacerbate fire impacts on natural and urban ecosystems. Predicting future fire regimes requires an understanding of how temperature and precipitation interact to control fire activity. Inevitably this requires historical analyses that relate annual burning to climate variation....
متن کاملShifts in Arctic vegetation and associated feedbacks under climate change
Climate warming has led to changes in the composition, density and distribution of Arctic vegetation in recent decades1–4. These changes cause multiple opposing feedbacks between the biosphere and atmosphere5–9, the relative magnitudes of which will have globally significant consequences but are unknown at a pan-Arctic scale10. The precise nature of Arctic vegetation change under future warming...
متن کاملTerrestrial vegetation redistribution and carbon balance under climate change
BACKGROUND Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) compute the terrestrial carbon balance as well as the transient spatial distribution of vegetation. We study two scenarios of moderate and strong climate change (2.9 K and 5.3 K temperature increase over present) to investigate the spatial redistribution of major vegetation types and their carbon balance in the year 2100. RESULTS The world's...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: PLOS ONE
سال: 2018
ISSN: 1932-6203
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0201680